Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) today released its annual State of the Wine Industry Forecast and Recommendations. The 25 page report, is available for free download at the SVB website and–more significantly–from their Facebook page.
I’m only providing a link to the report at SVB’s Facebook download location to encourage you to check out that social networking site if you haven’t already. That’s because one of the key findings of the report is that small wineries must come to grips with all of the tools of on-line marketing or face dire consequences.
Silicon Valley Bank knows the winery business like few others. They started a division to focus on the wine industry in 1994. They have over 350 current winery customers and have worked with hundreds more, big and small. Their knowledge of the industry is based on relationships that get them deep inside the books of many of America’s most successful wineries. Perhaps as important, they’ve been deep inside the books of numerous wineries that failed or flamed out–and the numbers tell the reasons why better than any winemaker’s sad narrative. In addition, Rob McMillian, author of the report head of the SVB wine practice, is widely known and highly respected in the industry. Believe me, people take his calls.
For the last several years the report has chronicled consolidation of the traditional distribution companies and warned that small wineries faced increasing difficulties finding access to distribution. This year, McMillan reports that the door to distribution for small wineries is all but closed.
After interviewing more than two dozen distributors in confidence, we discovered, not surprisingly, that the economy is taking a toll on their businesses and margins as well. In an effort to stabilize their own returns, most have taken rational actions to become more efficient. Noteworthy to the fine wine producer, they are eliminating less important brands, smaller brands, slower moving brands and those brands that deliver fewer nominal dollars to their business. Furthermore, we have not found any mature distributor willing to take on new brands or labels. These actions hit square in the center of the fine wine business.
With 5,990 wineries competing for 18% of distributor space in wholesale channels, the small winery must go direct.
Elsewhere the report notes that while wines below $35 are selling, but that wines between $50 and $125 are in a dead space. At that price point, only established brands with active followings are selling–and their seems to be no growth even for them. The report confirms the widely reported trend that wine consumers are trading down to lower priced, higher value wines, but then goes on to caution against percipitous price cutting.
So what is a small winery to do? Unlike most “state of the industry” reports, McMillan makes concrete. actionable suggestions. As he puts it, “wineries need to get better at Internet dating.” He devotes a number of pages to the subject, touching on Facebook and other social media, and even provides a list of vendors who offer pieces to solve the eMarketing puzzel, then provides a number of recommendations that will seem familiar to regular readers of SmallWineryMarketing.com.
- Make sure in this economy that you aren’t just focused on tactics and responding to the problems of slower distribution or tasting room sales. Don’t miss the opportunity to make progress in developing or furthering a digital sales and marketing strategy.
- Consider directing a portion of production to an e-Marketing agent.
- When developing a digital plan, start at the foundation: Figure out which systems to use, how you’ll manage and leverage your data and information and how you intend to grow using the technology to support the actions. (Electrons don’t sell wine.)
- Create a customer service plan that crosses all four direct consumer channels (tasting room, club, phone and e-commerce).
- If you have been using an in-house Web platform, consider upgrading to use an e-commerce company that specializes in wine and can help direct your progress in the channel.
- Consider shipping costs as a marketing opportunity. Avoid channel conflict with your retailers by posting higher prices and give free shipping.
- In cost containment environment, analyze shipping rates with your shipping team or fulfillment partner to make sure you are getting what you and your customers want in service and cost.
- Keep your customer relationship management database clean by scheduling twice a year phone conversations with your customers. It’s also an opportunity to reinforce your personal relationship with them and encourage higher purchases.
The recommendations are useful and needed. They come after McMillan makes a telling observation that should be a wake up call to winery owners:
We would love to be proven wrong, but with the sole exception of [insert your winery name here], we can’t point to a single wine production company that integrates anything close to a practical suite of electronic applications and social media tools available to execute a successful direct-to-consumer digigal sales strategy. With so many wineries losing distribution, one would think management teams would flock to these solutions, but it’s been slow in coming.
(emphasis added)
It’s no surprise, then, that SVB expects to see a wave of consolidations and outright failures among wineries that are poorly capitalized, in the wrong segment, or not prepared to deal with the effects of the current recession and its aftermath. If you’ve been focusing on the day-to-day in hopes that the whole thing will blow over, it’s time to take a more realistic approach. This report will help you do that. There is a wealth of interesting, current data and lots of informed wisdom. Ignore it at your peril.









ery and customer. Often, they’re leery of telemarketing and worry that customers won’t like it. Our experience is just the opposite. People are happy to get a call from the winery and to talk about wine. And they buy!”